Monday, November 30, 2009

November Average Return:1.2%

We close all positions except those opened on November 23.
Live Portfolio:
No.Open DateLongOpenLastShortOpenLastNet Return
12009-11-23FIS23.0622.6MA233.49240.86-5.2%
22009-11-23URI9.79.22GWW98.5797.7-4.1%
32009-11-23GME25.824.41ROST44.143.98-5.1%


Closed Pairs:
No.Open DateLongOpenCloseShortOpenCloseClose DateNet Return
12009-11-05UNH27.9528.76CYH33.5832.822009-11-125.2%
22009-11-05CVH21.7822.71CYH33.5832.822009-11-126.5%
32009-11-05ORLY37.3139.31PSS19.4219.862009-11-123.1%
42009-11-05ORLY37.3138.78ANF33.1239.932009-11-30-16.6%
52009-11-06TSN12.6512.02HANS33.2234.972009-11-30-10.2%
62009-11-06TSN12.6512.02AVP3334.252009-11-30-8.8%
72009-11-06WLP50.7254.03PDLI8.248.172009-11-307.4%
82009-11-09BDX70.8274.8HSP46.9646.952009-11-305.6%
92009-11-12EQR31.2532.21HRP6.736.142009-11-3011.8%
102009-11-12SPG72.2172.66HRP6.736.142009-11-309.4%
112009-11-13NDAQ18.9218.68MCO23.5923.232009-11-30.3%
NovCulmulative13.7%
NovAverage1.2%
OctCulmulative59.7%
OctAverage6.6%

Sunday, November 22, 2009

New pairs to hold for the last week of November

Open on Monday, November 23 at MOO:
No.Open DateLongSectorIndustryShortSectorIndustry
12009-11-23FISInformation TechnologyIT ServicesMAInformation TechnologyIT Services
22009-11-23URIIndustrialsTrading Companies & DistributoGWWIndustrialsTrading Companies & Distributo
32009-11-23GMEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailROSTConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty Retail

Saturday, November 21, 2009

Portfolio Recap:Nov 20,2009

Live portfolio:
No.Open DateLongOpenLastShortOpenLastNet Return
12009-11-05ORLY37.3138.9ANF33.1239.73-15.7%
22009-11-06TSN12.6513.07HANS33.2235.42-3.3%
32009-11-06TSN12.6513.07AVP3334.03.2%
42009-11-06WLP50.7252.14PDLI8.247.96.9%
52009-11-09BDX70.8273.7HSP46.9646.884.2%
62009-11-12EQR31.2531.95HRP6.736.564.8%
72009-11-12SPG72.2172.56HRP6.736.563.0%
82009-11-13NDAQ18.9218.97MCO23.5922.953.0%


Closed transactions:
No.Open DateLongOpenCloseShortOpenCloseClose DateNet Return
12009-11-05UNH27.9528.76CYH33.5832.822009-11-125.2%
22009-11-05CVH21.7822.71CYH33.5832.822009-11-126.5%
32009-11-05ORLY37.3139.31PSS19.4219.862009-11-123.1%

Friday, November 20, 2009

Holding to Month End

The live portfolio suffers loss mainly from the short target ANF. We will hold the portfolio to the end of November.
No.Open DateLongOpenLastShortOpenLastNet Return
12009-11-05ORLY37.3138.97ANF33.1240.11-16.7%
22009-11-06TSN12.6513.07HANS33.2235.11-2.4%
32009-11-06TSN12.6513.07AVP3334.33-.7%
42009-11-06WLP50.7252.14PDLI8.248.015.6%
52009-11-09BDX70.8273.46HSP46.9647.113.4%
62009-11-12EQR31.2532.12HRP6.736.545.6%
72009-11-12SPG72.2173.91HRP6.736.545.2%
82009-11-13NDAQ18.9219.3MCO23.5923.193.7%

Friday, November 13, 2009

Long NDAQ and Short MCO

We will Long NDAQ and short MCO at MOC.

Thursday, November 12, 2009

Portfolio Recap:Nov 12,2009

Three pairs opened one week ago were closed to release the capital for today's new pairs.
Live portfolio:
No.Open DateLongOpenLastShortOpenLastNet Return
12009-11-05ORLY37.3139.31ANF33.1236.76-5.6%
22009-11-06TSN12.6512.97HANS33.2234.31-.8%
32009-11-06TSN12.6512.97AVP3334.31-1.4%
42009-11-06WLP50.7252.5PDLI8.248.24.0%
52009-11-09BDX70.8272.2HSP46.9647.161.5%
62009-11-12EQR31.2531.11HRP6.736.66.6%
72009-11-12SPG72.2171.71HRP6.736.66.3%


Closed transactions:
No.Open DateLongOpenCloseShortOpenCloseClose DateNet Return
12009-11-05UNH27.9528.76CYH33.5832.822009-11-125.2%
22009-11-05CVH21.7822.71CYH33.5832.822009-11-126.5%
32009-11-05ORLY37.3139.31PSS19.4219.862009-11-123.1%

Trading Plan:2009-11-12

We have two pairs in REIT to trade at MOO:
No.Open DateLongSectorIndustryShortSectorIndustry
12009-11-12EQRFinancialsReal Estate Investment TrustsHRPFinancialsReal Estate Investment Trusts
22009-11-12SPGFinancialsReal Estate Investment TrustsHRPFinancialsReal Estate Investment Trusts

Monday, November 9, 2009

Portfolio Recap:Nov 9,2009

The loss of today is the short holding of ANF. It was up 7.37% today, so the return of ORLY-ANF dropped to -7.5%. However, other pairs performed well. As we expected, the opening price of BDX and HSP have no surprise.
No.Open DateLongOpenLastShortOpenLastNet Return
12009-11-05UNH27.9529.13CYH33.5832.67.1%
22009-11-05CVH21.7822.68CYH33.5832.67.1%
32009-11-05ORLY37.3139.56ANF33.1237.59-7.5%
42009-11-05ORLY37.3139.56PSS19.4220.192.1%
52009-11-06TSN12.6513.1HANS33.2234.39.0%
62009-11-06TSN12.6513.1AVP3333.841.0%
72009-11-06WLP50.7252.36PDLI8.248.193.8%
82009-11-09BDX70.8271.64HSP46.9647.47.1%

Trading Proposal for Monday, Nov 9, 2009

We have one pair to trade today. There is no corporate event with these two companies, and we can open it at Market On Open:
No.Open DateLongSectorIndustryShortSectorIndustry
12009-11-09BDXHealth CareHealth Care Equipment & SuppliesHSPHealth CareHealth Care Equipment & Supplies

Saturday, November 7, 2009

Portfolio Recap:Nov 6,2009

The short target HANS dropped more than 6% today. Unfortunately, the open price was significant lower than the previous close price. We will switch to market on close to open our positions.
No.Open DateLongOpenLastShortOpenLastNet Return
12009-11-05UNH27.9528.67CYH33.5832.565.6%
22009-11-05CVH21.7821.99CYH33.5832.564.0%
32009-11-05ORLY37.3138.44ANF33.1235.01-2.7%
42009-11-05ORLY37.3138.44PSS19.4219.92.5%
52009-11-06TSN12.6512.87HANS33.2234.46-2.0%
62009-11-06TSN12.6512.87AVP3333.121.4%
72009-11-06WLP50.7251PDLI8.248.191.2%

Friday, November 6, 2009

Market On Open or Market On Close?

We have noticed that Market On Open price has great uncertainty. Overnight news and fewer participants can make MOO price significant low of high, and therefore MOO price is not a good choice to open position. Market On Close is much better. We will switch to Market On Close price for opening price. As a result, trading proposals are expected to come out around 3pm.

Trading for Nov. 6, 2009

Open following pairs at MOO:





No.Long TickerIndustryShort TickerIndustrySector
1TSNFood ProductsHANSBeveragesConsumer Staples
2TSNFood ProductsAVPPersonal ProductsConsumer Staples
3WLPHealth Care Providers & ServicPDLIBiotechnologyHealth Care

Thursday, November 5, 2009

Live Positions







No.Open DateLongOpenLastShortOpenLastNet Return
12009-11-05UNH27.9528.21CYH33.5833.740.5%
22009-11-05CVH21.7821.90CYH33.5833.740.1%
32009-11-05ORLY37.3137.78ANF33.1235.12-4.8%
42009-11-05ORLY37.3137.78PSS19.4219.69-0.1%

Performance in October

Following are the performance of the model in October:
The cumulative return is around 60%, and the return on the account is close to 25% in one month.












No. Long Short Open(MOO) Close Net Return
1 AN GPS 2009-10-05 2009-10-20 11.20%
2 AN PSS 2009-10-05 2009-10-20 -5.80%
3 Y AJG 2009-10-05 2009-10-20 -4.30%
4 Y MBI 2009-10-05 2009-10-20 21.21%
5 INTU JKHY 2009-10-05 2009-10-20 2.20%
6 WRB ORI 2009-10-06 2009-10-27 5.80%
7 BKC WYNN 2009-10-21 2009-10-27 9.40%
8 PENN BOBE 2009-10-28 2009-11-04 11.57%
9 PENN CCL 2009-10-28 2009-11-04 8.37%

The original public posts are: Link

Trading for Nov. 5, 2009

There are four pairs to trade today:

1. Long UNH and Short CYH
2. Long CVH and Short CYH
3. Long ORLY and Short ANF
4. Long ORLY and Short PSS

All orders should be opened at Market On Open, with same dollar amount in the long side and the short side.

Trading like a hedge fund is simpler than you think

Trading like a hedge fund actually is simpler than you think. I will show how to do that in a simple strategy: pairs trading.